Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 23.439765 27.763539 33.136767 40.486183 50.588026 64.509035 86.212625
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.694915 23.658761 30.535885 41.311336 59.004765 89.844912 157.401971
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.464563 20.273324 27.346393 39.352170 61.454440 107.149460 242.293380
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.691163 18.472764 25.865805 39.323447 66.888658 134.878175 429.071894
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.054492 16.561897 23.757110 37.476095 67.755087 153.266824 686.326227
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.592678 14.710637 21.411090 34.554827 64.973389 159.156253 954.122275
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.497400 13.311410 19.620496 32.308545 62.953480 166.492188 1405.569593
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.691735 14.005662 21.550294 38.101582 84.927226 313.791063 310985.707680
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.424492 13.885115 21.971025 40.778685 100.494901 507.023111 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.684515 12.866118 20.525492 38.653244 98.309755 555.129475 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.434273 12.685337 20.697131 40.602763 113.316215 942.504971 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.057290 12.237953 20.266182 40.876438 121.958127 1437.881376 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.655996 11.746508 19.755849 41.042514 131.957477 2565.507358 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.342481 11.391801 19.494055 41.894280 147.490923 7004.762717 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.863901 10.683940 18.376099 39.893806 144.475175 10228.575624 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.566157 10.298168 17.925610 39.864489 154.755383 56006.922701 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.178253 9.710511 16.960166 37.979281 150.501304 143132.165147 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.751421 9.023999 15.717777 35.000076 136.395818 57240.352711 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 5.397143 8.462218 14.722935 32.710898 126.628086 41406.182188 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.561769 8.921036 16.100339 38.617482 190.898522 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.514920 8.955335 16.493010 41.350194 240.219403 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.235355 8.498854 15.644628 39.180445 226.664654 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 5.165849 8.468463 15.845667 41.170559 276.035776 NaN NaN